Wednesday, August 30, 2006

TSN says OVC to go 2-7 in Week 1

First, the good news: Matt Dougherty's published his weekly "Extra Point" column over at The Sports Network, including his top-to-bottom predictions for every game.

The bad news: Dougherty picks the OVC to go 2-7 in Week One. The only victories he predicts are Samford over D-II Miles College and Southeast Missouri State over an Austin Peay State team that will have 30 players under scholarship.

Matt predicted just the winner for four games: Samford over Miles, SEMO over APSU, Missouri over Murray State and Ohio over UT-Martin.

He gave the following score predictions for the remaining games:

Cincinnati 28, Eastern Kentucky 21
Illinois 24, Eastern Illinois 10
UT-Chattanooga 38, Tennessee Tech 30
Alabama A&M 21, Tennessee State 10
Furman 24, Jacksonville State 17

It's interesting to note that Matt picks every one of those games with a two-touchdown or smaller margin of victory, even the I-A games. The average predicted margin is 9.4 points. With all those games expected to be that tight, will the OVC really lose them all? I'm not really into making predictions (I prefer to pick apart the predictions of others), but I think the OVC does better than 2-7 this week.

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